How to Use Statistics to Predict Sports Outcomes

How to Use Statistics to Predict Sports Outcomes

For every sports bettor who wants to survive in the industry, statistics are secret weapons that you must learn how to use wisely.

Most casual bettors usually rely heavily on their guy's feelings while others bet based on how loyal they are to their teams.

But for smart bettors, they make use of numbers whenever they want to predict the likely outcome of games.

If you want to move way beyond just making guessworks, then you must learn to make use of data and statistics to come up with your predictions.

I know you might be wondering which statistics actually matter.

Don't worry, mentorspredict will give you all the right statistics you need to up your betting game.

We don't want you to waste your time on irrelevant statistics this year.

We make use of statistics here daily to come up with our accurate predictions.

We also want you to take advantage of the same skills for free so as to improve your chances of winning more consistently.

So that brings us to the question.

Why Statistics Beat Gut Feelings

In betting, if you depend only on your eyes and emotions, you're getting deceived in the process.

Your eyes and emotions might be showing you what you want to remember.

But at the end of the day, it's the statistics that will show you what happened.

With numbers, you automatically remove every atom of bias.

You might be feeling that your favorite team is doing very well.

But when you check statistics and discover that they've only won 3 of their last 10 games, that's when your eyes will open.

These datas will open up to you some patterns that you've been missing all these while.

In betting, always have it at the back of your mind that facts will always beat whatever opinions you might have as regards games.

The reason why professional bettors always win on a consistent basis is mainly due to the fact that they always trust numbers over whatever feelings they might be having.

That's why at mentorspredict, we always make sure every of our predictions always starts with statistical analysis.

We don't give predictions based on luck.

The Most Important Statistics for Any Sport

There are some statistics that are specific to a particular sport.

However there are some that really matter in almost every sport.

You can call them a universal statistics.

Which includes the recent form which is usually the last 5 to 10 games of the teams.

Their home versus away performance.

Then you look at the head to head statistics between the opponents you want to bet on.

The other remaining statistics include how many goals they score on average and their defensive records.

These five statistics work very well on football, basketball, tennis, hockey, and almost any sport.

We encourage you to first of all master these basics statistics.

After that you can start worrying about other advanced metrics.

Recent Form Beats Everything

This statistics is probably the one you can easily predict the most.

Here you will look at how the teams have performed in their last 5 to 10 games.

The truth is that in football, a team can have a very terrible season.

But when you look at their recent performances, you will discover that they are in very good form.

In whatever you do, do not pay attention to the overall season forms of teams.

Rather you should be looking at their recent performances ahead of how the perform throughout the season.

This is because form will always change throughout the season.

To get the best of recent forms, always look at their wins and losses in their last five games.

Check how many goals they've been able to score as well as how many they've conceded.

Also look at the quality of the recent opponents they've faced.

Home and Away Statistics Must Be Separated

Our industry years experience at mentorspredict have taught us that a team can be a completely different beast from how the perform at home vs away.

So if you end up combining their home and away statistics, it could be completely misleading.

To be on a better side, always check their home and away records separately.

You can see a team averaging 2 goals per game overall scoring around 2.5 at home.

But when it comes to away games, they will only score 1.5 away.

So whenever you are predicting, use the home team home games records.

And the away team away games records.

That way you'll significantly increase how accurate your general predictions will be.

Head to Head Records Reveal Hidden Patterns

Head to head records are usually underrated.

There are some teams that always beat a specific opponent whenever they meet.

It doesn't matter if they are in form or out of form.

Even their league positions have little or no say here.

So always check their last 5 to 6 meetings.

If a particular team has won at least 5 of their last 6 meetings, there's every chance that trend might continue.

Final Thoughts

If you learn how to make use of statistics when making sports predictions, trust us it's going to change you from just being a casual bettor to being a professional.

Numbers always show you patterns that you might not see naturally.

Always make sure that you focus more on their recent form.

Home and away forms.

And their head to head records.

Also the number of goals they scored and conceded also plays an important role.

These statistics we just discussed in this article will give you at least 80% of what you need to make an accurate prediction.

FAQs

What are the most important statistics for predicting football matches?

The five most important statistics we just discussed here are really important if you want to upgrade your predictions game.

Should I trust season statistics or recent form more?

Always go with their recent form.

Let's say their last 5 to 10 matches.

A team might start their season terribly and then pick up form along the way.

How do I know if statistics are reliable for predictions?

Statistics will always be reliable provided they are from games against opponents that have similar quality to them.

Check out some of free football predictions for all types of bets below;

   1. Banker of the day tips
   2. Both Teams To Score tips
   3. Double Chance tips
   4. Away Win
   5. Over 1.5 Goals tips
   6. Over 2.5 Goals tips

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